Conditionality in context - scenarios for EU relations with the Eurasian Economic Union
College of Europe Policy Brief
The establishment of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) in January 2015 congealed EU-Russia relations in terms of geopolitics and trade policy. To date, the EU has not formally recognised the EAEU. This recognition is conditioned on Russia implementing the Minsk agreements regarding the war in Ukraine and the annexation of Crimea. Out of three potential scenarios, relations between the EU and the EAEU might eventually be established through trade talks. European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) countries should be part and parcel of this policy. With Ukrainian membership ruled out, the EAEU today looks to countries and regions instead of the EU. The EU’s conditionality risks losing its grip.
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