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geopolitics


Trumping the US; China could join the CPTPP
As political and trade tensions with the United States rise, and its image as a global leader is tarnished by riots, China has indicated it could join the CPTPP which New Zealand belongs to.
“Modi Diplomacy” and the future of Japan-India relations
Under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India has been walking a tightrope between the United States and China even as it nurses its own ambitions for global leadership. Horimoto Takenori assesses the role of the Japan-India relationship in this dynamic context.
Pompeo presses Israel to distance from China
A China-Israel agreement could strengthen the Chinese influence in the management of the new port at Haifa. This is a scenario that keeps the Americans awake at night.
China-ASEAN trade to blossom in hard times
Economic complementarity, lower shipping costs and the upcoming Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) will substantially expand bilateral trade between China and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations this year.
China eyes further Northeast Asian economic integration in RCEP
Stepping into the role that the United States could have had at the helm of TPP, Beijing has offered a deal that puts it firmly in a leadership role. Through RCEP, the future of the broader Asia-Pacific economy has a diminished role for the United States.
Why China – not the US – remains key to Asia’s trade and economic recovery after Covid-19
China’s economy is expected to grow this year, it is capable of generating the jobs and trade needed for recovery, and looks ready to lead. In contrast, the US economy is shrinking and champions of free trade and investment are lacking.
India & Russia plan to open new trade route via Iran despite threat of US sanctions
Opening a long-pending multi-modal transportation corridor via Iran will be a big boost for bilateral trade between Russia and India, but it’s not just the economy at stake. This is a bold move against the threat of US sanctions.
US urges Australia to expand Pacific push to South-East Asia to counter China’s expansion
The Trump Administration has called on the Morrison Government to extend its "step-up" strategy in the Pacific to South-East Asia, as Washington grapples with China’s rising regional influence.
Chengdu Trilateral Summit still to deliver
The fact that China, Japan and South Korea (CJK) engaged in an agreed-upon trilateral summit framework, and bilateral dialogues on the sidelines, was no small achievement given heightened tensions between the three countries.
India’s geopolitical blunder will lead to economic woes
For New Delhi, though, RCEP is first and foremost an economic deal that could hurt its more vulnerable industries and lead to near-term pain.
Is free trade dead?
Conflict over trade dominated the economic headlines in 2019, so it’s surprising that the year ended with significant progress on three trade agreements.Each tells a different story about the outlook both for the global economy and for relations between nations.
Trade, not aid, is the way to persuade Pakistan to buck China’s influence
As with many other countries, Pakistan’s FTA with China has had a devastating impact on its domestic SMEs. Beijing and Islamabad have a strategic partnership, but the Chinese remain cutthroat competitors in trade.
Dumping by China? Singapore imports surge under the scanner
This level of annual spike in imports from Singapore has been unheard of despite the existence of the FTA for around 14 years now.
Japan won’t sign China-backed trade deal if India doesn’t join
Abe seeks to bolster India ties to balance China’s clout.
As the Eurasian Union looks east, its deals do not benefit all members equally
The EAEU is shopping for partners in Asia. Middle finger to the West or sound trade policy?
Breaking new ground: The EU’s push for raw materials sovereignty
When it comes to critical raw materials, the Commission is exploring fair trade agreements with Africa, Australia and Chile while the Canada-Europe trade deal could be a boon for sourcing nickel and rare earths.
Japan seeks to keep India in China-backed regional trade pact
China aims to press ahead with 15 remaining RCEP members. Japan had sought to balance China by involving India.
Recent developments in “Crimean” investment arbitration claims
While the geopolitical tensions remain, the legal landscape continues to evolve. It seems likely that more claims will be brought in each direction.
India’s trade with its FTA partners: experiences, challenges and way forward
India has viewed FTAs as an important tool to enhance its trade and investment, and signed a number of trade agreements with various countries or groups. And India’s experience intrade with its major FTA partners has not been very encouraging.
Why is Iceland the focus of Washington’s new trade strategy?
A free trade deal with Iceland has an important benefit: It’s part of a broader plan to boost America’s presence in the Arctic region as a bulwark against Russia and China.