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geopolitics


The geopolitical profile of India tracks the economy’s trajectory
High growth has granted the country global relevance but others may not support us if they don’t see an economic upside.
India-China spat delays deal covering a third of global trade
A spat between the world’s most populous countries is holding up a pan-Asian trade agreement encompassing nearly a third of all global trade.
Political pressures rolled back globalization before. It can happen again
It’s a good guess that the new global economic system will give overt political considerations greater weight than its predecessor. Countries will link trade benefits and penalties to their political agendas.
Is Southeast Asia winning the US-China trade war? not so fast
If the U.S.-China trade war continues or worsens ASEAN countries will also experience a bumpy ride.
The other trade war—Japan vs South Korea
Japan imposed export restrictions on three key chemical materials upon which South Korea is highly dependent for the production of semiconductors. With other actions, that were viewed by South Korea as a “declaration of economic war”.
China could play mediator role to help resolve Japan-South Korea trade friction
Tensions between Japan and South Korea have been escalating since July 1. Japan has since placed restrictions on three chemicals critical to South Korea’s tech industry. Uncertainty exists within ongoing negotiations for the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP).
The Japan-US ‘mini-deal’ has big implications
As the US and Japan intensify trade negotiations, the push for a quick “mini-deal” on agriculture and autos will have far-reaching impact.
India’s focus shift from SAARC to BIMSTEC is strategic, but underused
While India has tactfully used the platform to diplomatically isolate Pakistan, it must also tap into BIMSTEC’s immense potential for development, connectivity and trade in the region.
SCO 2019: Opportunities and challenges for India
Chinese proposals for a Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Free Trade Area put forth in 2010 were not received enthusiastically by the members. In 2018, President Xi Jinping again called for the need to begin feasibility studies on the FTA, revealing the lack of progress on this issue.
The battle for Latin America: How the US helped destroy the “pink tide”
After sponsoring juntas until well into the 1990s, the US went after Central and South America with “free trade” deals before once again working with extremists.
China’s construction binge spreads to Americas, rattles US
China’s expansion in Latin America of its Belt and Road initiative to build ports and other trade-related facilities is stirring alarm in Washington over Beijing’s ambitions in a region that American leaders since the 19th century have seen as off-limits to other powers.
After NAFTA fight, Trump threatens another trade battle with Central America
Now that the Trump administration has revamped the North American Free Trade Agreement, it is taking a look at kicking key countries out of its sister pact, the Central American Free Trade Agreement.
What the US-Africa strategy means for SA and the continent
The US-Africa Strategy seeks to re-position the US and bring it to par with China and Russia.
Australia-Indonesia free trade deal safe for now but Malaysian criticism swift
Indonesia could delay signing a planned free trade deal with Australia if Prime Minister Scott Morrison formally recognises Jerusalem as Israel’s capital, political analysts suggest, as the move would provoke deep anger in the lead up to the Muslim nation’s presidential election.
Mauritius and Africa must avoid Chinese debt-trap
Mauritius is the first African country that launched the FTA negotiations with China; MoU over the Belt and Road Initiatives is under negotiation.
Trade negotiations: Geo-economics and geopolitics
Trade negotiations have been increasingly used as a political tool.
With eye on African market, India readies offers for free trade pact with Mauritius
India is hopeful that a bilateral trade agreement with the country could open the doors wider to the entire continent.
The separation of migrant families: cruelty as a migration policy
In an accentuated anti-immigrant context of clear criminalization of Central Americans and Mexicans without migratory documents in their attempt to enter the US, measures on the separation of thousands of families (most of them from Central America) are the new face of the racist nationalism of the American government and its current president.
Trump’s new tariffs have effectively killed TTIP and may collapse NAFTA
China’s preferred model of free trade has already won a favoured position in developing countries vis-a-vis the US model.
Uncertainty is pushing the EU to speed up its trade deals
Worried about the future of global trade, the European Union is seeking to negotiate as many free trade agreements as it can.